Accelerating ground warming in the Canadian Prairie provinces: Is it a result of global warming?     

Jacek A. Majorowicz 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1996,147(1):1-24

The results of precision temperature logs made to depths of several hundred meters in some 80 wells in Western Canada, most of which are located in the Prairie Provinces, show evidence of warming at the ground surface in the 0.5 K to 3.5 K range (average=2.2±0.7 K, for 80 unevenly distributed sites). Modeling shows that this warming mostly pertains to this century and it has been most substantal in the last four decades if the ramp function of the linear increase of surface temperature is assumed. Using the step function model's increase of surface temperature (land clearing, forest fires, etc.) the calculated onset of warming would pertain mostly to the last two decades. Contour maps of ground temperatures currently and previously and a contour map of the ground warming magnitude dilineate a large regional character of the ground temperature change at the southern marigin of permafrost for the large area of the Prairie Provinces. In many cases however, the magnitude of ground warming is much larger than the magnitude of air warming. This is especially evident for the northern areas of Alberta in the boreal forest ecoprovince. The magnitude of ground warming is equal to the magnitude of surface air warming in southern Alberta in the grassland and aspen parkland ecoprovinces. The analysis of the temperature depth response to the surface warming from well data shows the integrated effect of surface air warming together with the increases in ground temperature due to natural terrain effects and other anthropogenical changes to the surface of the earth.  相似文献   

Ostracode carbonate δ18O- and δ13C-signature of hydrological and climatic changes affecting Lake Neuchâtel,Switzerland, since the latest Pleistocene     

Antje Schwalb  Guy S. Lister  Kerry Kelts 《Journal of Paleolimnology》1994,11(1):3-17

Floating and grounded peat plateaus were studied in fens in the Yukon Territory (Canada). The peat deposit may be over 4 m thick and consists of a lower bed of aquatic peat overlain by humic fen peat, mesic fen peat and woody peat. Permafrost in the grounded peat plateaus is older than the 1200 year old White River Ash, whereas permafrost in the floating peat plateau is younger.Peat accumulation rates since 1200 years B.P. were greater in the fens (85–100 cm) than on the surface of the peat plateaus (25–55 cm). Where the peat plateau is free-floating, it will persist until the climate changes, causing the icy core to thaw. Where the peat plateau is frozen to the mineral substrate, it slowly drowns since the fen peat accumulates faster than the woody peat. This drowning results in degradation of the landform independently of the climate. Only degradation of floating peat plateaus can be used to identify climatic changes.This publication is the first paper in a series of papers presented at the session on Past Climatic Change and the Development of Peatlands at the ASLO and SWS Meetings in Edmonton, Canada, May 30–June 3, 1993. Dr. P. Kuhry and Dr S. C. Zoltai are serving as Guest Editors.  相似文献   

未来气候变化对云南柠檬气候适宜性的影响     

范丹华  杨弘伟  邵晨扬  王鹏云  朱勇 《气象科技》2021,49(6):968-974

气候变化影响柠檬生长、产量和品质，本文利用云南省125个国家气象站1981—2018年,月平均气温、月平均降水量、月日照时数，进行基准年代下云南柠檬气候适宜性分区；采用RCP2.6、RCP4.5、RCP8.5气候情景模式，研究2021—2030年、2031—2040年、2041—2050年云南柠檬气候适宜区的变化，探讨未来气候变化背景下，云南柠檬气候适宜性变化，以期对柠檬产业布局、规划、引种提供科学的指导。结果表明：21世纪中叶，RCP2.6情景下柠檬最适宜种植区增加了3成左右，RCP4.5情景下柠檬最适宜种植区增加了5成左右，RCP8.5情景下柠檬最适宜种植区增加了9成左右。但由于受降水因子的限制，中度适宜区到2041—2050年开始缩减，总的可适宜种植区（高度适宜区+中度适宜区）基本趋于稳定，这将给柠檬在云南的种植发展提供广阔空间。  相似文献   

基于FPN Res-Unet的高分辨率遥感影像建筑物变化检测     

王明常  朱春宇  陈学业  王凤艳  李婷婷  张海明  韩有文 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2021,51(1):296-306

针对城市土地资源变化检测工作繁杂、工作量大、自动化程度低等问题，本文提出一种基于深度学习模型的高分辨率遥感影像建筑物变化检测方法，将语义分割的思想引入到遥感变化检测。基于残差结构特征较卷积层提取性能更优和特征金字塔网络多尺度预测的特点，将残差结构和特征金字塔网络融合到Unet模型中，建立FPN Res-Unet模型。该模型以Unet为基础，引入ResNet18的残差结构作为编码路径特征提取层，在每次卷积后使用边界填充，使得输入图像和输出图像尺寸一致；在解码路径每级上采样过程中，拓展支路径将特征金字塔网络融合到模型的网络主干中，将残差结构、Unet及特征金字塔网络的优点相互融合，增强了Unet的特征提取，弥补了语义分割网络对小目标检测的欠缺；在获取深层语义信息的同时关注细节信息，提高建筑物变化检测精度。实验表明，该方法在所用数据集，准确率、召回率、F₁ 3种指标均达到90%以上。  相似文献   

近40年黄河流域资源环境格局变化分析与地质工作建议          下载免费PDF全文

王尧  陈睿山  郭迟辉  夏子龙 《中国地质》2021,48(1):1-20

20世纪80年代以来,自然演变与强烈的人类活动叠加,致使黄河流域资源环境格局发生了显著变化,进而影响其开发利用布局,面临诸多资源短缺、环境退化和生态破坏问题,急需从地球系统科学的视角深入研究流域资源环境的格局变化特点,识别重大资源环境问题,提出解决方案,为黄河流域可持续发展提供决策依据。本研究以"山水林田湖草"生命共同体理念和地球系统科学理论为指导,利用多源多时相调查研究数据,分析黄河流域1970—2015年近40年气候、山区、水文等十一大类资源环境格局变化及区域分异规律,识别重大地质资源环境问题,提出地质工作建议。研究结果表明:黄河流域气候整体暖干化趋势明显,局部出现暖湿现象;山区生态系统脆弱、逐步恢复,局部人类活动影响剧烈;水体与湿地面积总体减少,近年呈增加趋势,径流量呈减少趋势,部分干支流污染严重,水生生物多样性减少;农田面积呈下降趋势,下游地区农田生产潜力增加明显;植被覆盖呈现整体缓慢升高、局部退化趋势;草地面积持续减少,草地生态系统退化明显;荒漠化扩展态势得到遏制,总体形势依然严峻;自然灾害频发,水害严重,地质灾害聚集分布,形成陇中黄土高原和陇南山地两个高发区;城镇建设用地面积持续上升,由下游地区向中上游扩散,中上游呈现出由轴线连接的多个核心的组团分布特征;人口分布重心进一步向东偏离,沿中心城市、干流、交通干线增加;GDP整体呈现上涨趋势,呈现由东向西递减、由干流或主支流沿岸向两边递减、由中心城市向周围递减。为保护黄河流域生态环境、促进高质量发展,解决黄河流域面临的复杂多样的地质资源环境问题,建议地质工作以地球系统科学理论为指导对黄河流域重大地质资源环境问题进行系统调查研究;以地球系统科学研究方法为框架,进行跨学科协作,整合区域性地质调查工作。  相似文献   

碳中和目标下关键矿产在清洁能源转型中的作用、供需分析及其建议          下载免费PDF全文

王欢  马冰  贾凌霄  于洋  胡嘉修  王为 《中国地质》2021,48(6):1720-1733

在"碳中和"目标的驱动下，全球能源系统向清洁化、低碳化甚至无碳化发展已是大势所趋。针对向清洁能源转型的需求，采用了统计对比、分类汇总、综合分析等方法，分析研究了关键矿产在电池、电网、低碳发电和氢能等行业中的作用和需求。结合当前关键矿产产量的地理集中度高、项目开发周期长、资源质量下降等矿产供应和投资计划不能满足清洁能源转型的需求等问题，提出确保关键矿产多样性供应，推动价值链各环节的技术创新，扩大回收利用，增强供应链弹性和市场透明度，将更高的环境、社会和治理标准纳入主流程及加强生产者和消费者之间的国际合作等建议。  相似文献   

利用主成分分析改善土地利用变化的遥感监测精度——以珠江三角洲城市用地扩张为例   总被引：41，自引：7，他引：34  

黎夏  叶嘉安 《遥感学报》1997,1(4):282-289

近年来,珠江三角洲由于经济的快速发展,城市用地急剧增加,利用多时相的遥感图,可以定量地监测这种城市化的现象。但理,由一般的遥感动态监测方法所得的结果往往夸大变化的程度,以及获得一些不合理的结论．该文提出主成分分析的方法来改善遥感动态监测的精度。将该方法应用应用于珠江三角洲发展最快的东莞市,获得了较满意的结果。  相似文献   

Global climatic change – the latest scientific understanding     

Bruce A. Callander 《GeoJournal》1997,42(1):55-63

IPCCs statement in its 1995 report (IPCC 1996) that a human influence was discernible in global climate has been widely quoted but often misunderstood. The character of the evidence underpinning this detection statement is explained so that its strengths and weaknesses can be better understood and the subtleties of its message better appreciated. To demonstrate the close linkage between the government-approved summary and the underlying chapters of the IPCC report the detailed evolution of the detection statement from first draft through to the form finally approved by the IPCC is described.  相似文献   

Sedimentary Features of Shallow Ancient River Channels on the Northern Shelf of the South China Sea   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Kou Yangqi  Du Deli nd Marine Geological Investigation Party  MGMR  Guangzhou  Guangdong Jiang M inxi 《《地质学报》英文版》1995,69(1)

Quaternary buried ancient river channels are widespread in the shallow-level sediments of the northern shelf of the South China Sea. The sedimentary sequence mainly of fluvial deposits comprise an important component part of the low-stand system tract and transgressive system tract in the study region. The plannar variation and spatial association of the sedimentary features such as incised valley fillings, deltaic foreset wedges and block slides of shelf-marginal fans reflect the palaeogeographic environment during the fall of the regional sea level in the northern part of the South China Sea. Based on the high-resolution seismic reflection data and gelogical data from boreholes, the present paper makes an integrated interpretation of the Quaternary ancient river channels in the shallow sediments of the study area, studies the sedimentary features of the ancient channels such as their spatial distribution, seismic facies reflection indicators, sedimentary facies and sand -body types, and discusses thei  相似文献   

荒漠植被红砂（Reaumurta soongorica）水热响应的年轮学研究     

肖生春  肖洪浪  宋耀选  段争虎  陆明峰 《中国沙漠》2006,26(4):548-552

 红砂是黄土高原荒漠植被带主要建群植物种之一，在植被恢复重建和生态建设中具有重要意义。本文以皋兰县40 a天然植被封育区为例，运用树木年轮学方法，对不同坡向红砂与当地水热条件变化的时空响应及分布格局进行了研究。研究结果表明，红砂具有明显的年轮特征，可以进行树木年轮方面的研究。虽然不同坡向水分条件和植被状况有很大差异，但红砂径向生长对区域水热变化具有非常一致的响应模式：同生长季降水呈正相关关系，尤以7月降水量最为显著；同生长季气温呈负相关关系，以6月最为显著。根据不同坡向红砂年龄分布格局分析结果，并考虑到水土流失的防治效果，黄土高原西部荒漠植被带的封育期限不宜少于10 a。  相似文献